Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 5.387137 6.137915 6.965273 7.946262 9.079751 10.350743 11.887320
2025-05-18 4.297085 5.252275 6.388037 7.843874 9.668773 11.891415 14.820010
2025-05-25 3.629941 4.670838 5.979700 7.757667 10.127297 13.200955 17.529018
2025-06-01 3.139801 4.210232 5.618272 7.623398 10.433646 14.273865 19.990353
2025-06-08 2.754901 3.825336 5.288337 7.457634 10.632766 15.172646 22.268128
2025-06-15 2.590395 3.715543 5.309228 7.763686 11.506575 17.094018 26.244875
2025-06-22 2.390619 3.528354 5.191489 7.840725 12.031457 18.534839 29.647045
2025-06-29 2.189223 3.315001 5.008018 7.788384 12.335672 19.647311 32.638303
2025-07-06 2.006885 3.111079 4.815459 7.694390 12.550760 20.622076 35.498341
2025-07-13 1.920472 3.047729 4.833675 7.937016 13.338142 22.621758 40.385995
2025-07-20 1.829019 2.966576 4.813197 8.108217 14.014160 24.493512 45.274273
2025-07-27 1.769614 2.931950 4.864204 8.403063 14.932945 26.890736 51.462928
2025-08-03 1.625401 2.743537 4.641417 8.197883 14.930657 27.609845 54.505409
2025-08-10 1.511482 2.598073 4.480445 8.088297 15.093579 28.657410 58.356097
2025-08-17 1.412104 2.469869 4.338523 7.998678 15.281612 29.768176 62.483354
2025-08-24 1.315310 2.338412 4.179364 7.859796 15.354642 30.649231 66.224139
2025-08-31 1.223212 2.208353 4.012013 7.688419 15.341598 31.345244 69.637745
2025-09-07 1.201603 2.207901 4.087376 8.004827 16.370046 34.365872 78.871828
2025-09-14 1.152235 2.150599 4.048626 8.084479 16.901543 36.360143 85.945319
2025-09-21 1.091313 2.066288 3.950240 8.030362 17.133944 37.705955 91.609040
2025-09-28 1.030486 1.977752 3.836592 7.933182 17.259026 38.816030 96.833148
2025-10-05 1.010057 1.968443 3.882173 8.184039 18.203748 41.971749 107.936671
2025-10-12 0.983137 1.943848 3.894084 8.361061 18.994218 44.848550 118.753336